Assessing climate risks and opportunities for business

Martin Fryer, our Head of Strategy and Impact New Zealand, is an expert at assessing business’s climate risks and opportunities. He presented a Masterclass about this topic with the New Zealand Climate Leaders Coalition. We’re sharing this information to help your business understand risks (and opportunities!) posed by climate change.

Read the explainer (in PDF) – or – watch a recording of the masterclass

Why this matters

Assessing and managing your climate risks and opportunities in a structured way will add value to your business.

It will help your business:

  • engage with your stakeholders (internal and external)
  • become more resilient
  • identify commercial opportunities
  • refine your strategy
  • improve your access to capital
  • comply with financial regulations
  • build your brand.

It will help you play your part in helping New Zealand mitigate and adapt to climate change and is a requirement for the Climate Leaders Coalition (CLC) Statement of Ambition.

 

Diagram showing risks and opportunities of climate change when disclosing risk

A diagram showing risks and opportunities of climate change when disclosing risk

Getting started

1. Set up your team

Climate risk touches many parts of your business and your working group should reflect this.

To make the best use of your resources and add the greatest value, start by looking at your whole business, at a high level. Where are the material risks and opportunities for your organisation and supply chain?

Then focus on the material parts of your business and supply chain. Within these areas, you should involve these functions:

  • Executive and governance
  • Sustainability
  • Risk
  • Finance
  • Operations/asset management
  • People/Health Safety and Environment
  • Communications
  • Legal/Corporate Affairs

If your business is a corporate, these will be distinct functions. If your business is a Small to Medium Enterprise (SME), these functions will be shared across a small number of people.

Multi-nationals generally provide their regional operations with a methodology and let them assess their own risks and opportunities using local data.

2. Agree your scope and boundary

Will you include all your operations? All your locations? Your entire supply chain? All at once or staged?

Our tips
  1. In year one, start broad. Look at your whole operation, at a high level.
  2. In years two and beyond, increase your focus. Use what you’ve learned in year one to develop your understanding of your climate change ‘hot spots’

3. Confirm your time horizons

The table below shows some options.

External Reporting Board (XRB) horizons

ISO14091 horizons Your business planning/investment horizons
  • Useful life of your assets or infrastructure
  • Availability of your data
  • Lifetime of the system at risk
  • Timescales over which the impacts of climate change become critical
  • Lead time for adapting to address impacts
  • Short term – 1 to 3/5 years
  • Mid-term – 3/5 to 10 years (match 2030 or 2050 emission reduction targets)
  • Long term 10 to 50 years (match 2030 or 2050 emission reduction targets and/or asset lifetimes)

4. Choose your climate scenarios

These are our recommendations:

Businesses located in New Zealand  Businesses with international operations and supply chains
NIWA | Taihoro Nukurangi regional scenarios  IPCC scenarios
Near term: 2016-2035
Mid term: 2046-2065
Long term: 2081-2100

Near term: 2021-2040
Mid term: 2041-2060
Long term: 2081-2100